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GamblersTalk.com

Wednesday's MLB Handicapping Info & Free Pick 7-19-17

Posted By: Kosmo (174.53.15.42)
Date: 7/19/2017 at 12:51 p.m. EST



FREE PICK: DETROIT TIGERS -105 LP

National League

Brewers @ Pirates
Davies is 4-0, 4.44 in his last four starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Milwaukee is 7-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-3

Cole is 4-1, 3.38 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Pirates are 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-11-4

Milwaukee lost its last three games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Pittsburgh won nine of last 11 games; under is 14-2 in their last 16 home games.

Cardinals @ Mets
Leake is 1-1, 5.02 in his last five starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. St Louis is 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

deGrom is 6-0, 1.91 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Mets won his last four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-1

Cardinals won three of their last four games; under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. New York lost its last three games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Phillies @ Marlins
Pivetta is 1-2, 7.89 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Phillies are 2-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-2

Straily is 3-0, 2.45 in his last six starts (under 4-2); Miami is 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-1

Phillies lost eight of last 11 games; under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Miami lost six of its last seven home games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games.

Diamondbacks @ Reds
Greinke is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Arizona is 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-2

Adelman is 0-3, 7.54 in his last three starts (under 2-0-1). Reds are 5-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-8-1

Arizona lost five of its last six games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Cincinnati lost its last six home games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

Cubs @ Braves
Montgomery is 0-3, 8.38 in his last four starts (under 4-3). Cubs are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3-1

Dickey is 2-0, 1.09 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Atlanta won his last six home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-5-3

Cubs won their last six road games; under is 14-4 in their last 18 road games. Atlanta is 3-5 in its last eight home games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games overall.

Padres @ Rockies
Richard is 0-2, 6.18 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. San Diego is 3-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-1

Gray is 2-1, 6.58 in six starts this year (under 3-2-1). Colorado won both his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2-1

San Diego lost its last three road games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Rockies are 7-5 in their last 12 games; under is 10-6-1 in their last 17 games.

——————————–

American League

Rangers @ Orioles
Perez is 3-0, 6.00 in his last four starts; Texas scored 31 runs in those games (over 3-1). Rangers are 2-4 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 6-8-3

Gausman is 2-3, 7.60 in his last seven starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13. Orioles are 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11

Rangers lost their last three games (under 7-1-1). Baltimore lost 8 of last 12 games- over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Sanchez is 1-2, 5.34 in seven starts this year (under 4-2-1). Toronto is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4-1

Pomeranz is 3-0, 3.13 in his last four starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Boston is 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8

Blue Jays lost four of last six games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Boston lost seven of last 11 games; under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games.

New York @ Minnesota
Montgomery is 2-0, 3.76 in his last five starts; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven. New York is 3-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-1

Berrios is 1-2, 9.47 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over. Twins are 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4-1

New York lost seven of last 11 games; under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. Twins lost five of last seven games; under is 11-6 in their last 17 games.

Mariners @ Astros
Paxton is 3-0, 2.33 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. battle split his six road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-4-3

Morton is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Houston is 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-3-2

Mariners won five of their last six games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Houston is 9-4 in its last 13 games; over is 13-5 in their last 18 games.

Tigers @ Royals
Verlander is 0-3, 6.32 in his last three starts; over is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Detroit is 2-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-9-3

Hammel is 0-2, 6.14 in his last four starts; over is 7-5 in his last 12. Royals are 2-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-3

Detroit won five of last six games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Kansas City lost seven of its last eight games; under is 52–1 in their last eight games.

Rays @ A’s
Faria is 4-0, 2.20 in seven MLB starts (under 4-2-1). Rays are 4-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-0-2

Gray is 3-1, 1.67 in his last four starts (under 3-1). A’s are 5-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-5

Rays won six of last seven games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Oakland won seven of last 11 games, but lost last two; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

__________________________

Interleague

Dodgers @ White Sox
Maeda is 3-1, 3.05 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Dodgers are 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

Rodon is 1-2, 5.94 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1). Chicago lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

Dodgers won their last ten games; under is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games. White Sox lost their last five games; under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Nationals @ Angels
Gonzalez is 3-3, 2.18 in his last six starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Washington is 7-3 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 12-4-3

Meyer is 0-2, 6.28 in his last three starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Angels are 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

Washington won its last six games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Angels are 4-10 in last 14 games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Indians @ Giants
Carrasco is 5-1, 4.17 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). Cleveland is 8-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-1

Cain is 0-7, 7.26 in his last nine starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Giants are 5-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-11-1

Indians lost five of their last six games; under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 games. Giants lost seven of last nine games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Davies 13-6; Cole 11-8
StL-NY: Leake 8-10; deGrom 12-6
Phil-Mia: Pivetta 3-9; Straily 11-8
Az-Cin: Greinke 13-5; Adelman 6-10
Chi-Atl: Montgomery 2-5; Dickey 11-7
SD-Col: Richard 7-12; Gray 5-1

American League
Tex-Balt: Perez 7-10; Gausman 9-11
Tor-Bos: Sanchez 3-4; Pomeranz 12-6
NY-Min: Montgomery 7-10; Berrios 8-4
Sea-Hst: Paxton 9-6; Morton 8-4
Det-KC: Verlander 8-11; Hammel 4-14
TB-A’s: Faria 6-1; Gray 7-7

Interleague
LA-Chi: Maeda 10-4; Rodon 1-2
Wsh-LA: Gonzalez 10-9; Meyer 4-8
Clev-SF: Carrasco 14-4; Cain 7-10

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Davies 7-19; Cole 7-19 (4 of last 4)
StL-NY: Leake 3-18; deGrom 7-18
Phil-Mia: Pivetta 4-12; Straily 4-19
Az-Cin: Greinke 1-18; Adelman 5-16
Chi-Atl: Montgomery 2-7; Dickey 6-18
SD-Col: Richard 5-19; Gray 1-6

American League
Tex-Balt: Perez 6-17; Gausman 6-20
Tor-Bos: Sanchez 1-7; Pomeranz 5-18
NY-Min: Montgomery 4-17; Berrios 3-12
Sea-Hst: Paxton 1-15; Morton 1-12
Det-KC: Verlander 6-19; Hammel 1-18
TB-A’s: Faria 2-7; Gray 2-14

Interleague
LA-Chi: Maeda 6-14; Rodon 1-3
Wsh-LA: Gonzalez 6-19; Meyer 5-12
Clev-SF: Carrasco 3-18; Cain 6-17

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Mil-Pitt: Under is 6-1 in last seven Winters games.
StL-NY: Road team won seven of last nine Rackley games.
Phil-Mia: Last five Hudson games stayed under total.
Az-Cin: Last five Cederstrom games stayed under total.
Chi-Atl: Last three Hickox games stayed under total.
SD-Col: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight May games.

American League
Tex-Balt: Three of last four Scheurwater games went over.
Tor-Bos: Last seven Baker games went over the total.
NY-Min: Over is 8-4-1 in last 13 Wolcott games.
Sea-Hst: Five of last six Danley games stayed under.
Det-KC: Four of last five Carapazza games stayed under.
TB-A’s: Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Reynolds games.

Interleague
Wsh-LAA: Underdogs won last four Blaser games; last three stayed under.
LA-Chi: Last four Kellogg games went over the total.
Clev-SF: Seven of last eight Hoberg games went over.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 45-37 AL, favorites -$801
AL @ NL– 48-45 NL, favorites -$418
Total: 90-85 AL, favorites -$1,219

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 46-39-2
AL @ NL: Over 48-39-3
Total: Over 94-78-5

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/18/17
Ariz 15-20-10……27-14–7……….41-34
Atl 20-19-6……19-24-4………..39-43
Cubs 22-24-3……20-19-5………..42-43
Reds 14-27-4……18-27–3…………32-54
Colo 27-17-6…….24-19-2……….51-36
LA 21-18-5…….33-13-4……….54-31
Miami 19-23-3…….23-18-6……..42-41
Milw 23-14-7…….25-20-7………47-34
Mets 22-19-2……..21-24-3………43-43
Philly 11-29-11……14-20-7……….25-49
Pitt 22-21-3…..18-22-8………..40-43
St. Louis 18-19-6……28-15-7……….46-34
SD 12-29-5……..24-19–4………36-48
SF 10-35-7……..17-21-5……….30-56
Wash 33-12-3……21-17-7………….54-29

Orioles 16-27-4……..19-24-3………35-51
Boston 20-24-6………20-23-2…….40-47
White Sox 16-28-6……..18-20–3……..34-47
Cleveland 22-19-6……..20-20-5……..41-39
Detroit 18-22-6…….23-19-4……..41-41
Astros 23-13-8……..31-16-4……..54-29
KC 15-22-7………21-19-8…….36-41
Angels 18-25-7………19-17-10………37-42
Twins 23-14-6………20-25-5……..43-38
NYY 21-25-3……….25-15-3…..…46-40
A’s 13-24-7……..22-18-10……..35-42
Seattle 16-25-6……..23-18-8……..39-43
TB 23-16-10……..29-11-6……..52-27
Texas 24-15-9……..20-17-8………44-32
Toronto 19-25-3……..15-23-8……..34-48

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/18/17)
Ariz 13-45……..18-48………..31
Atl 8-45……..13-47…………21
Cubs 14-49……..16-44……….30
Reds 18-45……..18-48……….36
Colo 12-50……..15-46..……..27
LA 13-44……..19-50..……..32
Miami 18-45……..16-47………34
Milw 18-44……20-52…..…..38
Mets 19-43……..16-48……….35
Philly 14-51……..11-41………..25
Pitt 12-46……..15-48……….27
StL 12-43……..14-50………..26
SD 19-46……..14-47…………33
SF 12-52……..11-43…………23
Wash 20-48……..20-45………40

Orioles 7-47……..16-47……….23
Boston 15-50……..10-45………25
White Sox 15-50……12-41……….27
Clev 9-47……..14-45……….23
Detroit 9-46…….20-46……….29
Astros 14-44……..21-50………35
KC 9-44……..9-48…………18
Angels 20-50…….11-46……….31
Twins 11-43……..12-50……….23
NYY 11-49……..14-43………25
A’s 8-44……..15-50……….23
Seattle 16-46…….18-49………34
TB 14-49……..20-46……..34
Texas 15-48……..21-45………36
Toronto 14-47……..9-46……….23

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