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GamblersTalk.com

Tuesday's MLB Gambling Info & Free Pick 7-18-17

Posted By: Kosmo (174.53.15.42)
Date: 7/18/2017 at 6:42 p.m. EST



FREE PICK: NEW YORK YANKEES -125 LP

National League
Brewers @ Pirates
Guerra is 0-3, 7.67 in his last six starts (over 7-3). Brewers are 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5-2

Nova is 2-2, 4.38 in his last four starts; his last six starts stayed under. Pirates are 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-7-1

Milwaukee is 11-4 in its last 15 games, but lost last two; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Pittsburgh won eight of last ten games; under is 13-2 in their last 15 home games.

Cardinals @ Mets
Wacha is 3-0, 1.53 in his last three starts; over is 10-3 in his last 13 starts. St Louis is 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

Montero is 1-2, 6.27 in four starts this year (over 2-2). Mets are 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3

Cardinals are 7-12 in last 19 road games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. New York won five of last eight home games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six home games.

Phillies @ Marlins
Velasquez is making his first start since May 30; he is 0-3, 6.56 in his last five starts (over 7-2-1). Phillies are 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7

Conley is making his first start since May 8— he is 2-2, 8.46 in six starts this year (over 6-0). Miami is 1-2 in his home starts- their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Phillies lost eight of last ten games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Miami lost five of its last six home games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

Diamondbacks @ Reds
Ray is 6-1, 1.79 in his last nine starts; over is 4-0-2 in his last six. Arizona is 6-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4-6

Romano is 1-1, 5.63 in two starts this year (under 2-0)— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Arizona lost its last five games, is 8-7 in road series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Cincinnati lost its last five home games; they’re 8-8 in home series openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Cubs @ Braves
Lackey is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts (over 10-7). Cubs are 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-13-1

Newcomb is 0-2, 13.50 in his last two starts (under 4-2). Atlanta is 1-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Cubs won their last five road games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 road games. Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Padres @ Rockies
Lamet is 1-1, 4.70 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. San Diego is 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5

Senzatela is 2-2, 8.55 in his last five starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten. Colorado is 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-3-2

San Diego won seven of last 11 games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Rockies are 6-5 in their last 11 games; under is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games.

——————————–

American League
Rangers @ Orioles
Ross is 2-1, 5.33 in five starts this year (over 3-2). Texas is 1-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

Bundy is 1-3, 8.85 in his last four starts; his last six starts all went over. Orioles are 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-2

Rangers won five of last eight games (under 7-0-1). Baltimore lost 8 of last 11 games- over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Happ is 1-2, 4.86 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Toronto is 2-3 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7

Johnson is 2-0, 4.29 in four starts this year (over 2-2). Boston won both his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1

Blue Jays lost three of last five games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Boston lost seven of last ten games; under is 7-1-2 in their last ten games.

New York @ Minnesota
Cessa is 0-3, 7.24 in his last three starts (under 3-0). New York is 0-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3

Colon is making his Minnesota debut; he was 0-4, 18.00 in his last four starts for Atlanta. Over is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. Braves’ first 5-inning record with him: 3-10

New York lost seven of last ten games; under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Twins lost four of last six games; under is 10-6 in their last 16 games.

Mariners @ Astros
Gaviglio is 0-3, 6.35 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Seattle is 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-5-1

Peacock is 4-0, 1.99 in his last four starts (under 5-4). Astros are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-2

Mariners won their last five games; under is 4-2 in their last six. Houston is 8-4 in its last 12 games; over is 13-4 in their last 17 games.

Tigers @ Royals
Boyd is 0-4, 7.67 in his last six starts, last of which was May 31. Over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Tigers are 1-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-6-2

Wood allowed two runs in four IP (81 PT) in his first ’17 start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Detroit won four of last five games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games. Kansas City lost six of its last seven games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Rays @ A’s
Snell is 0-3, 6.97 in his last four starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5-1

Smith allowed three runs in six IP (97 PT) in his only ’17 start— Oakland’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1

Rays won five of last six games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Oakland won seven of last ten games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

__________________________

Interleague

Dodgers @ White Sox
Kershaw is 7-0, 2.19 in his last seven starts (over 9-9-1). Dodgers are 7-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-2-3

Gonzalez is 1-8, 7.94 in his last nine starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten. White Sox are 3-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

Dodgers won their last nine games, are 6-1 in last seven road series openers. Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games. White Sox lost their last four games, are 5-8 in home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Nationals @ Angels
33-year old Jackson is making his first ’17 start; he is 93-114, 4.65 in 275 big league starts. He is 2-0, 1.77 in 17 AAA games this year (5 starts).

Chavez is 0-4, 4.79 in his last five starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Angels are 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-2

Washington won its last five games; they’re 10-5 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Angels are 4-9 in last 13 games, 2-8 in last 10 home series openers. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Indians @ Giants
Clevinger is 3-0, 1.57 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Indians are 5-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-3-2

Blach is 2-3, 7.49 in his last six starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Giants are 3-5 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 9-5

Indians lost four of their last five games; under is 9-5-2 in their last 14 games. Giants lost seven of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Guerra 4-6; Nova 10-8
StL-NY: Wacha 8-8; Montero 2-2
Phil-Mia: Velasquez 3-7; Conley 3-3
Az-Cin: Ray 11-6; Romano 1-1
Chi-Atl: Lackey 8-9; Newcomb 2-4
SD-Col: Lamet 5-3; Senzatela 10-5

American League
Tex-Balt: Ross 3-2; Bundy 9-9
Tor-Bos: Happ 4-7; Johnson 4-0
NY-Min: Cessa 0-3; Colon 0-0 (5-8)
Sea-Hst: Gavigvlio 6-4; Peacock 7-2
Det-KC: Boyd 4-7; Wood 1-0
TB-A’s: Snell 2-7; Smith 1-0

Interleague
LA-Chi: Kershaw 17-2; Gonzalez 5-8
Wsh-LA: Jackson 0-0; Chavez 8-10
Clev-SF: Clevinger 6-5; Blach 6-8

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Mil-Pitt: Guerra 2-10; Nova 6-18
StL-NY: Wacha 3-16; Montero 1-4
Phil-Mia: Velasquez 3-10; Conley 3-6
Az-Cin: Ray 6-17; Romano 0-2
Chi-Atl: Lackey 10-17; Newcomb 2-6
SD-Col: Lamet 3-8; Senzatela 6-15

American League
Tex-Balt: Ross 3-5; Bundy 2-18
Tor-Bos: Happ 2-11; Johnson 2-4
NY-Min: Cessa 1-3; Colon 5-13
Sea-Hst: Gavigvlio 3-10; Peacock 1-9
Det-KC: Boyd 3-11; Wood 0-1
TB-A’s: Snell 1-9; Smith 0-1

Interleague
LA-Chi: Kershaw 4-19; Gonzalez 4-13
Wsh-LA: Jackson 0-0; Chavez 3-18
Clev-SF: Clevinger 1-11; Blach 4-14

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Mil-Pitt: Over is 10-6 in Muchlinski games this season.
StL-NY: Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Fairchild games.
Phil-Mia: Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Layne games.
Chi-Atl: Over is 12-1-1 in last 14 Gonzalez games.
SD-Col: Under is 7-2 in last nine Kulpa games.

American League
Tex-Balt: Over is 7-2 in last nine Gorman games.
Tor-Bos: Over is 10-6 in last sixteen Everitt games.
NY-Min: Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
Sea-Hst: Under is 8-2 in last ten Bellino games.
Det-KC: Under is 9-6 in last fifteen Cuzzi games.
TB-A’s: Under is 6-2 in last eight BWelke games.

Interleague
Clev-SF: Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 Drake games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 45-35 AL, favorites -$793
AL @ NL– 47-45 NL, favorites -$290
Total: 88-80 AL, favorites -$1,083

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 46-37-2
AL @ NL: Over 48-38-3
Total: Over 94-75-5

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/17/17
Ariz 14-20-10……27-14–7……….40-34
Atl 20-19-6……19-23-4………..39-42
Cubs 21-24-3……20-19-5………..41-43
Reds 14-27-4……18-26–3…………32-53
Colo 27-17-6…….23-19-2……….50-36
LA 20-18-5…….33-13-4……….53-31
Miami 19-23-3…….23-18-5……..42-41
Milw 22-14-7…….25-20-7………46-34
Mets 22-19-2……..21-23-3………43-42
Philly 11-29-10……14-20-7……….25-49
Pitt 22-21-3…..18-21-8………..40-42
St. Louis 17-19-6……28-15-7……….45-34
SD 12-28-5……..24-19–4………36-47
SF 10-35-7……..17-20-5……….30-55
Wash 33-12-2……21-17-7………….54-29

Orioles 16-27-4……..18-24-3………34-51
Boston 20-24-6………20-22-2…….40-46
White Sox 16-28-6……..18-19–3……..34-46
Cleveland 21-19-6……..20-20-5……..40-39
Detroit 17-22-6…….23-19-4……..40-41
Astros 23-13-8……..30-16-34……..53-29
KC 15-22-7………21-18-8…….36-40
Angels 18-25-7………19-17-9………37-42
Twins 23-14-6………20-24-5……..43-37
NYY 20-25-3……….25-15-3…..…45-40
A’s 13-24-7……..21-18-10……..34-42
Seattle 16-24-6……..23-18-8……..39-42
TB 23-15-10……..29-11-6……..52-26
Texas 24-14-9……..20-17-8………44-31
Toronto 18-25-3……..15-23-8……..33-48

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/17/17)
Ariz 13-44……..18-48………..31
Atl 8-45……..13-46…………21
Cubs 14-48……..16-44……….30
Reds 18-45……..17-47……….35
Colo 12-50……..14-45..……..26
LA 12-43……..19-50..……..31
Miami 18-45……..15-46………33
Milw 18-43……20-52…..…..38
Mets 19-43……..16-47……….35
Philly 14-50……..11-41………..25
Pitt 12-46……..15-47……….27
StL 11-42……..14-50………..25
SD 18-45……..14-47…………32
SF 12-52……..11-42…………23
Wash 19-47……..20-45………39

Orioles 7-47……..15-46……….22
Boston 15-50……..10-44………25
White Sox 15-50……12-40……….27
Clev 9-46……..14-45……….23
Detroit 9-45…….20-46……….29
Astros 14-44……..20-49………34
KC 9-44……..8-47…………17
Angels 20-50…….10-45……….30
Twins 11-43……..11-49……….22
NYY 11-48……..14-43………25
A’s 8-44……..14-49……….22
Seattle 16-45…….18-49………34
TB 14-48……..20-46……..34
Texas 14-47……..21-45………35
Toronto 14-46……..9-46……….23

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