FREE PICK: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -115 LP

Friday, June 23

National League
Reds @ Nationals
Castillo is making his big league debut; he is 4-4, 2.58 in 14 starts in AA this season.

Strasburg is 5-1, 3.48 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Washington is 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-6 (8-1 last 9)

Reds lost 11 of their last 12 games; they’re 6-6 in road series openers. Reds’ last five games went over the total. Washington lost three of last four games; they’re 8-4 in home series openers. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Cubs @ Marlins
Lackey is 1-4, 5.82 in his last six starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Cubs are 4-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-10-1

Urena is 2-0, 3.18 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Miami is 3-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-2-1

Cubs won five of last seven games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Miami won seven of its last nine home games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.

Brewers @ Braves
Nelson is 3-0, 2.31 in his last five starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Milwaukee is 3-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-8-1

Foltynewicz is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three home starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Braves are are 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-5-2

Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last ten games, 6-4 in road series openers; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Atlanta won six of last eight games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Braves are 6-5 in home series openers.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Taillon is 1-2, 6.00 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Pirates’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-3-2

Wainwright is 1-2, 17.42 in his last three starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12. St Louis is 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-2

Pirates are 3-5 in their last eight games, 4-8 in road series openers; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. St Louis lost six of last nine games, is 5-7 in home series openers. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Phillies @ Diamondbacks
Leiter is making his first MLB start here; he’s allowed 12 runs in 19 IP in 12 relief stints. He was 1-0, 4.74 in five AAA games (3 starts) this year.

Corbin is 2-2, 8.71 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Arizona won his last six home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:

Phillies lost 12 of last 14 games, are 5-7 in road series openers. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Arizona won nine of its last games; they’re 8-3 in home series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Freeland is 3-1, 3.38 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. Colorado is 6-1 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-4-1

Wood is 6-0, 1.94 in his last seven starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Dodgers are 5-0 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-2-1

Colorado won six of its last eight games but lost last two, allowing 26 runs; they’re 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Dodgers won 13 of last 14 games; over is 12-1 in their last 13 games. LA is 9-3 in home series openers.

Mets @ Giants
Lugo is 1-1, 3.29 in two starts this year (over 1-1). Mets’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Blach is 0-2, 7.36 in his last three starts; over is 5-0-1 in his last six. Giants are 2-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-4

Mets lost seven of last eight games; they’re 1-5 in last six road series openers. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. San Francisco lost nine of last ten games, are 4-6 in home series openers. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

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American League
Rangers @ New York
Darvish is 1-3, 4.45 in his last five starts; under is 8-0-1 in his last nine. Texas is 4-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-4-4

Tanaka is 0-6, 9.45 in his last seven starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. New York is 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-6-1

Texas won six of last seven road games; they’re 5-6 in road series openers. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games1 New York lost eight of its last nine games; over is 8-2 in New York’s last ten home games. NY is 2-5 in last seven home series openers.

Orioles @ Rays
Jimenez is 1-2, 8.01 in his last six starts (over 5-0-1); Orioles split his four road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-5-1

Archer is 2-1, 3.74 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Rays are 5-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-2-5

Baltimore is 4-11 in its last 15 games; they’re 3-8 in road series openers. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Tampa Bay won four of last five games, is 4-8 in home series openers. Rays’ last eight home games went over.

Angels @ Red Sox
Meyer is 0-2, 3.48 in in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Angels are 1-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-5

Porcello is 0-4, 6.68 in his last five starts (under 4-1); Boston is 3-5in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:

Angels are 6-3 in last nine road games, 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Boston are 9-2 in last 11 hone games, 8-4 in home series openers. Three of their last four games went over.

Twins @ Indians
Mejia is 0-2, 6.29 in his last five starts (under 5-3-1). Minnesota’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-3-3

Bauer is 1-1, 4.08 in his last four starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Indians are 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-2

Minnesota lost five of last seven games; they’re 8-2 in road series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Cleveland won eight of last nine games; they’re 4-7 in home series openers. Over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

A’s @ White Sox
Cotton is 1-4, 6.95 in his last six starts; over is 4-2-2 in his last eight. Oakland is 2-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

Pelfrey is 3-1, 2.61 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Chicago is 2-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-4-2

Oakland lost its last four games; they’re 2-9 in road series openers. Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games. White Sox lost three of last four games, is 4-5 in home series openers. Under is 5-4-1 in their last ten home games.

Blue Jays @ Royals
Happ is 2-0, 2.13 in his last two starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Toronto’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-5

Junis is 1-1, 7.40 in four starts this year (over 3-0-1). Royals’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-2

Toronto won four of last six road games, is 7-5 in road series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Royals woo nine of last 11 games, is 6-6 in home series openers. Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.

Astros @ Mariners
Musgrove is 1-3, 6.20 in his last four starts; over is 2-0-1 in his road starts. Houston is 3-0 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8

Hernandez is making his first start since April 25; he is 2-2, 4.91 in five starts this year (over 3-2). Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-3

Houston won its four games; they’re last 10-1 in road series openers. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 home games; five of their last seven home games stayed under. Seattle is 10-2 in home series openers.

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Interleague

Tigers @ Padres
Fulmer is 1-4, 4.64 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Detroit is 3-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-1

Lamet is 2-2, 8.25 in five starts this year; his last three went over. San Diego’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-3

Detroit lost its last six games; they’re 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. San Diego lost four of last six games, is 9-3 in home series openers. Padres’ last four games stayed under the total.

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Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Wsh: Castillo 0-0; Strasburg 10-4
Chi-Mia: Lackey 7-7; Urena 6-3
Mil-Atl: Nelson 7-7; Foltynewicz 6-7
Pitt-StL: Taillon 3-5; Wainwright 8-6
Phil-Az: Leiter 0-0; Corbin 8-6
Col-LA: Freeland 10-4; Wood 7-3
NY-SF: Lugo 1-1; Blach 4-7

American League
Tex-NY: Darvish 8-7; Tanaka 6-8
Balt-TB: Jimenez 6-3; Archer 9-6
LA-Bos: Meyer 2-6; Porcello 6-9
Min-Clev: Mejia 3-6; Bauer 7-7
A’s-Chi: Cotton 4-8; Pelfrey 5-6
Tor-KC: Happ 3-4; Junis 3-1
Hst-Sea: Musgrove 5-7; Hernandez 2-3

Interleague
Det-SD: Fulmer 7-6; Lamet 3-2

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Cin-Wsh: Castillo 0-0; Strasburg 2-14
Chi-Mia: Lackey 8-14; Urena 1-9
Mil-Atl: Nelson 2-14; Foltynewicz 2-13
Pitt-StL: Taillon 2-8; Wainwright 4-14 (3 of last 3)
Phil-Az: Leiter 0-0; Corbin 8-14
Col-LA: Freeland 3-14; Wood 1-10
NY-SF: Lugo 1-2; Blach 2-11

American League
Tex-NY: Darvish 3-15; Tanaka 8-14
Balt-TB: Jimenez 3-9; Archer 4-15
LA-Bos: Meyer 4-8; Porcello 5-15
Min-Clev: Mejia 3-9; Bauer 2-14
A’s-Chi: Cotton 5-12; Pelfrey 2-11
Tor-KC: Happ 2-7; Junis 1-4
Hst-Sea: Musgrove 3-12; Hernandez 3-5

Interleague
Det-SD: Fulmer 4-13; Lamet 2-5

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Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 40-22 AL, favorites +$18
AL @ NL– 37-35 AL, favorites -$629
Total: 77-57 AL, favorites -$611

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 40-26-1
AL @ NL: Over 41-26-2
Total: Over 81-52-3

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/22/17
Ariz 14-15-9……21-9–5……….34-24
Atl 15-16-4……14-20-4……..29-36
Cubs 14-18-1……18-15-5………..32-33
Reds 9-22-3……14-20–2………23-42
Colo 24-9-5…….19-16-2……….43-25
LA 15-16-4……26-11-2……….41-27
Miami 14-19-2…….18-13-4……..32-32
Milw 17-9-6…….19-18-6…….36-27
Mets 16-15-1……..17-21-2……33-36
Philly 9-21-6……11-17-6……….20-38
Pitt 16-18-2…..13-17-7……….29-35
St. Louis 14-16-3……..20-10-6……..34-26
SD 9-24-5…….16-15–4………25-39
SF 8-28-7……..13-15-4……..24-43
Wash 28-10-2……17-12-3………..45-22

Orioles 11-19-4……..17-18-3………28-37
Boston 16-19-5………15-15-2…….31-34
White Sox 14-24-6……..14-11–2……..28-35
Cleveland 20-15-4……..15-14-3……..34-29
Detroit 15-18-5…….16-14-4……..31-32
Astros 18-10-7……..22-15-2…….40-25
KC 12-17-6………16-15-6…….28-32
Angels 13-20-6………17-13-6…….30-33
Twins 17-8-3………15-20-6……..32-28
NYY 16-17-3……….22-10-1…..…38-27
A’s 10-19-4……..17-14-8……..27-33
Seattle 12-21-5……..19-13-5……..31-34
TB 16-12-8……..24-10-5……..40-22
Texas 17-10-5……..17-15-7………34-25
Toronto 13-21-2……..11-17-6……..24-38

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/22/17)
Ariz 12-38……..15-35……….27
Atl 8-35……..9-38………….17
Cubs 9-34……..16-38………..25
Reds 12-34……..16-37………28
Colo 9-38……..10-37..………19
LA 9-35……..16-38..……..25
Miami 13-35……..12-35………25
Milw 12-32……18-43…..…..30
Mets 13-32……..15-39……….28
Philly 12-37……..9-34………..21
Pitt 10-36……..12-37………22
StL 9-34……..10-36………..19
SD 17-38……..10-35………..27
SF 8-46……..9-32………….17
Wash 15-40……..14-32………29

Orioles 4-34……..15-39……….19
Boston 12-40……..8-31……….20
White Sox 14-44…….9-27……….23
Clev 9-40……..11-32……….20
Detroit 8-38…….16-34………24
Astros 11-35……..17-39………28
KC 5-35……..5-35…………10
Angels 17-40…….10-37………27
Twins 6-29……..11-42……….17
NYY 9-36……..13-34……….22
A’s 5-34……..12-40………17
Seattle 15-38…….14-38………29
TB 10-36……..18-39……..28
Texas 9-33……..18-39………27
Toronto 11-36……..7-36………..18