FREE PICK: MILWAUKEE BREWERS -130 LP

Wednesday, June 21

National League
Cardinals @ Phillies
Wacha is 1-2, 9.28 in his last five starts; over is 9-1 in his last ten. St Louis is 1-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-5-2

Pivetta is 1-2, 3.32 in his last four starts (over 3-3-1)— their 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-4-2

Cardinals lost five of last seven games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Philly lost 12 of last 13 games; under is 3-1-3 in their last six games.

Nationals @ Marlins
Scherzer is 4-1, 1.58 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Washington is 6-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-4-1

Straily is 4-1, 3.86 in his last six starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Miami is 4-3 in his home starts— their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

Washington is 12-4 in its last 16 road games; over is 8-1 in their last nine games. Miami won six of its last seven home games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.

Giants @ Braves
Samardzija is 1-4, 5.58 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Giants are 3-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-8-5

Newcomb is 0-2, 2.92 in two MLB starts (under 2-0); Braves scored one run in the two games. Atlanta’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-2

Giants lost nine of last 11 games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Atlanta won four of last six games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.

Pirates @ Brewers
Williams is 1-0, 4.33 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Pirates are 3-1 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-3-1

Guerra is 0-1, 4.76 in his last three starts (over 4-2). Brewers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-1-2

Pirates are 7-3 in their last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Padres @ Cubs
Diaz is 0-0, 6.75 in two MLB starts (over 2-0). San Diego’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0-1

Butler is 1-2, 3.92 in his last four starts (over 3-3-1). Cubs’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-3

San Diego lost nine of last 11 road games; over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Cubs won four of last five games; under is 4-0 in their last four games.

Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Walker is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Arizona is 4-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-3-1

Colorado is 5-0 in Hoffman starts; he is 1-0, 3.48 at home, 3-0, 1.33 on road. Rockies’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-0

Arizona won seven of its last eight games; under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 road games. Colorado won its last six games; over is 6-3-1 in last ten games at Coors Field.

Mets @ Dodgers
Pill is 0-1, 5.23 in two starts this year (over 2-0). Mets’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Hill is 2-2, 6.95 in his last five starts, last three of which went over. Dodgers are 2-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-5

Mets lost six of their last eight games; seven of their last eight games went over. Dodgers won 11 of last 12 games; over is 10-1 in their last 11 games.

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American League
Angels @ New York
Nolasco is 0-6, 7.06 in his last six starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Angels are 1-6 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-7-3

Montgomery is 2-0, 2.89 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. New York split his six home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-12

Angels lost three of last five games; over is 4-1 in their last five road games. New York lost its last seven games; over is 6-2 in New York’s last eight home games.

Indians @ Orioles
Carrasco is 3-1, 3.91 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Indians are 6-1 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-3-1

Gausman is 0-2, 9.19 in his last three starts; over is 7-1 in his last eight. Orioles are 6-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-9

Indians won six of their last seven games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Baltimore is 4-9 in its last 13 games; last eight Oriole home games went over.

Blue Jays @ Rangers
Biagini is 0-4, 6.43 in his last four starts (under 6-2). Toronto’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-5

Ross allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (95 PT) in his first ’17 start, vs Seattle. Rangers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Toronto won three of its last four road games; four of their last six games went over. Texas won eight of last 11 games; over is 12-2-1 in their last 15 home games.

White Sox @ Twins
Holmberg is 1-0, 3.71 in four starts (17 IP, under 2-1-1). Chicago’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

Berrios is 3-0, 2.79 in his last three starts (under 6-0-1). Twins’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-2

White Sox lost six of last nine road games; over is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. Minnesota is 3-10 in its last 13 home games; under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Red Sox @ Royals
Pomeranz is 3-1, 3.77 in his last five starts (over 5-3 in his last eight). Boston is 3-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-7

Kennedy is 1-2, 6.30 in his last four starts; over is 7-1 in his last eight. Royals are 1-5 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-8-2

Red Sox are 8-4 in their last 12 games; four of their last six games stayed under. Kansas City won eight of last ten games; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games.

Astros @ A’s
Fiers is 3-0, 2.13 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 in his road starts. Astros are 5-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-6-1

Manaea is 5-0, 3.08 in his last six starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. A’s are 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-4-3

Astros won three of last four games; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. Oakland won four of its last six games; over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 home games.

Tigers @ Mariners
Verlander is 0-1, 3.43 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Detroit is 2-6 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-6-3

Paxton is 0-2, 12.91 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Seattle is 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-3-2

Tigers lost nine of last 12 games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 home games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six home games.

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Interleague

Reds @ Rays
Adleman is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts; over is 3-2 in his road starts. Reds are 1-4 in those road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-4-1

Ramirez is 0-2, 10.90 in his last four starts (over 5-2). Rays are 4-0 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-4-1

Reds lost 10 of their last 11 games; over is 12-5 in their last 17 games. Tampa Bay won six of last eight home games; Rays’ last seven home games went over the total.

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Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
StL-Phil: Wacha 4-8; Pivetta 2-5
Wsh-Mia: Scherzer 9-5; Straily 7-7
SF-Atl: Samardzija 5-9; Newcomb 0-2
Pitt-Mil: Williams 5-3; Guerra 2-4
SD-Chi: Diaz 0-2; Butler 4-3
Az-Col: Walker 7-3; Hoffman 5-0
NY-LA; Pill 1-1; Hill 4-4

American League
LAA-NYY: Nolasco 3-11; Montgomery 5-7
Clev-Balt: Carrasco 10-3; Gausman 7-8
Tor-Tex: Biagini 3-5; Ross 1-0
Chi-Minn: Holmberg 3-1; Berrios 6-1
Bos-KC: Pomeranz 8-5; Kennedy 4-8
Hst-A’s: Fiers 8-5; Manaea 7-5
Det-Sea: Verlander 7-7; Paxton 5-5

Interleague
Cin-TB: Adleman 5-6; Ramirez 5-2

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
StL-Phil: Wacha 1-12; Pivetta 2-7
Wsh-Mia: Scherzer 3-14; Straily 2-14
SF-Atl: Samardzija 6-14; Newcomb 1-2
Pitt-Mil: Williams 4-4; Guerra 1-6
SD-Chi: Diaz 0-2; Butler 3-7
Az-Col: Walker 3-10; Hoffman 0-5
NY-LA; Pill 2-2; Hill 2-8

American League
LAA-NYY: Nolasco 4-14; Montgomery 4-12
Clev-Balt: Carrasco 2-13; Gausman 4-15
Tor-Tex: Biagini 2-8; Ross 1-1
Chi-Minn: Holmberg 1-4; Berrios 1-7
Bos-KC: Pomeranz 5-13; Kennedy 3-12
Hst-A’s: Fiers 6-13; Manaea 3-12
Det-Sea: Verlander 5-14; Paxton 1-10

Interleague
Cin-TB: Adleman 4-11; Ramirez 6-7

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Umpires
National League
StL-Phil: Favorites won last seven HGibson games.
Wsh-Mia: Six of last seven Demuth games went over.
SF-Atl: Underdogs won five of last six O’Nora games.
Pitt-Mil: Three of last four Layne games stayed under.
SD-Chi: Five of last six Blaser games went over total
Az-Col: Underdogs won seven of last ten Fletcher games.
NY-LA; Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Barksdale games.

American League
LAA-NYY: Favorites are 9-2 in last 11 Woodring games.
Clev-Balt: Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Blakney games.
Tor-Tex: Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Holbrook games.
Chi-Minn: Last seven Hickox games went over the total.
Bos-KC: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Morales games.
Hst-A’s: Five of last six Dreckman games stayed under.
Det-Sea: Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Carlson games.

Interleague
Cin-TB: Four of last six Carapazza games stayed under.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 39-22 AL, favorites -$82
AL @ NL– 37-35 AL, favorites -$629
Total: 76-57 AL, favorites -$711

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 39-26-1
AL @ NL: Over 41-26-2
Total: Over 80-52-3

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/20/17
Ariz 12-15-9……21-9–5……….32-24
Atl 15-16-4……12-20-4……..27-36
Cubs 13-18-1……17-15-5………..30-33
Reds 9-21-3……14-20–2………23-41
Colo 24-9-5…….19-14-2……….43-23
LA 15-16-4……24-11-2……….39-27
Miami 14-19-2…….18-11-4……..32-30
Milw 17-9-6…….18-17-6…….35-26
Mets 16-13-1……..17-21-2……33-34
Philly 9-21-6………9-17-6……18-38
Pitt 15-17-2…..13-17-7……….28-34
St. Louis 14-14-3……..20-10-6……..34-24
SD 9-23-5…….16-15–4………25-38
SF 8-26-7……..13-15-4……..24-41
Wash 27-10-2……17-12-3………..44-22

Orioles 11-19-4……..17-16-3………28-35
Boston 15-19-5………15-15-2…….30-34
White Sox 13-23-6……..14-11–2……..27-34
Cleveland 18-15-4……..15-14-3……..32-29
Detroit 14-17-5…….16-14-4……..30-31
Astros 17-10-6……..22-15-2…….39-25
KC 12-17-6………16-14-6…….28-31
Angels 13-18-6………17-13-6…….30-31
Twins 17-8-3………14-19-6……..31-27
NYY 16-17-3……….20-10-1…..…36-27
A’s 10-19-4……..17-13-7……..27-32
Seattle 12-21-5……..18-12-5……..30-33
TB 16-12-8……..23-10-5……..39-22
Texas 17-10-5……..16-14-7………33-24
Toronto 12-20-2……..11-17-6……..23-37

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/20/17)
Ariz 12-36……..15-35……….27
Atl 8-35……..8-36…………16
Cubs 9-33……..16-37………..25
Reds 12-33……..16-37………28
Colo 9-38……..9-35..……….18
LA 9-35……..16-36..……..25
Miami 13-35……..12-33………25
Milw 12-32……17-41…..…..29
Mets 11-30……..15-39……….26
Philly 12-37……..7-32…………19
Pitt 9-34……..12-37……….21
StL 9-32……..10-36………..19
SD 17-37……..10-35………..27
SF 8-44……..9-32………….17
Wash 15-39……..14-32………29

Orioles 4-34……..14-37……….18
Boston 12-39……..8-31……….20
White Sox 12-42…….9-27……….21
Clev 9-38……..11-32……….20
Detroit 8-36…….16-34………24
Astros 10-33……..17-39………27
KC 5-35……..5-34…………10
Angels 16-38…….10-37………26
Twins 6-29……..11-40……….17
NYY 9-36……..12-32……….21
A’s 5-34……..12-38………17
Seattle 15-38…….14-36………29
TB 10-36……..18-38……..28
Texas 9-33……..17-37………26
Toronto 10-34……..7-36………..17